Selection Sunday Projected Field
   Scroll down for analysis of why teams are trending up or down.

Please Note:

There are projections of what I believe the selection committee would select as the field if the season ended today, NOT what I think the bracket should be. 

Click HERE to see the Seed List, with all 68 teams listed in seeding order.

Seed up from last update

Seed down from last update

Teams by Conference

Changes from the previous

Bracketometry

 

Rising:

Tennessee: Up from a 3 seed to a 2 seed

-The Vols jump to a 2 seed with their dismantling of Texas A&M in the SEC Championship, leaping Duke after their loss.


Iowa: Up from a 6 seed to a 5 seed

-The Hawkeyes leap to a 5 seed with their win in the Big 10 title game over Purdue.


Colorado State: Up from a 7 seed to a 6 seed

-The Rams move back up to the 6 line over Michigan State after the Spartans lost to Purdue in the Big 10 semifinals.


TCU: Up from a 9 seed to an 8 seed

-The Horned Frogs get back to an 8 seed thanks to Creighton's loss to Villanova in the Big East Championship, allowing them to take their spot on the 8 line.


Memphis: Up from a 10 seed to a 9 seed

-The Tigers rolled SMU in the AAC semis (a Q1 win) even with the loss to Houston the Tigers move up.


Virginia Tech: Up from a 12 seed to a 10 seed

-The Hokies jump 2 seed lines all the way up to a 10 after their dominant Q1A victory over Duke in the ACC Championship. 


Wyoming: Up from a 12 seed to an 11 seed

-Richmond stealing a bid elevated the second play-in game to an 11 seed, thus moving the Cowboys up.


Georgia State: Up from a 16 seed to a 15 seed

-The Panthers move up to a 15 seed thanks to LBSU losing in the Big West final, allowing them to take their spot on the 15 line.




Falling:

Duke: Down from a 2 seed to a 3 seed

-The Blue Devils fall to a 3 seed with their loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship.


Texas: Down from a 5 seed to a 6 seed

-The Longhorns fall back to a 6 seed after Iowa leaped them with a win in the Big 10 title game.

Michigan State: Down from a 6 seed to a 7 seed

-The Spartans fall back to a 7 seed after coming up short against Purdue in the Big 10 semifinals, a win that would have solidified them as a 6.


Creighton: Down from an 8 seed to a 9 seed

-The Bluejays drop to a 9 seed after a tough loss to Villanova in the Big East title game. Not a bad loss, but enough to cede their spot back to TCU who was right on their tail.


Iowa St: Up from a 10 seed to a 9 seed

-The Cyclones get dropped to a 10 seed after Memphis leaped them with their win over SMU.


Davidson: Down from a 10 seed to an 11 seed

-The Wildcats fall to an 11 seed after their loss to Richmond in the A-10 final.


Notre Dame: Down from an 11 seed to a 12 seed

-The Irish fall to a 12 seed after getting leaped by Virginia Tech, who clinched the ACC's auto-bid with their win over Duke.




Entering and Leaving the Field:

Richmond: New at a 12 seed
SMU: Out

-The Spiders enter the field as a true bid-thief, knocking SMU out of the field with their upset win over Davidson in the A-10 final.


Akron: New at a 13 seed
Kent State: Out

-The Zips took down a depleted Kent State squad in the MAC Championship to earn the league's auto-bid and take their spot in the field.


Yale: New at a 14 seed
Princeton: Out

-The Bulldogs knocked off Princeton in the Ivy League title game and take their spot in the field as a result.


Cal State Fullerton: New at a 16 seed
Long Beach State: Out

-The Titans beat LBSU to claim the Big West crown, and enter the field as a 16 seed in their place.


Texas Southern: New at a 16 seed
Alcorn State: Out

-The Tigers routed Alcorn State in the SWAC title game and took their spot in the field as the SWAC champs.


Texas A&M CC: New at a 16 seed
SE Louisiana: Out

-The Islanders took down SELA in the Southland title game and enter the field in their place as Southland Champions.

 **Bracketometry Notes:  Other teams who won and lost since the last update who's seed didn't change did likely move up or down the S-Curve, but maybe went from .  Example: A projected 2 seed who was 5th on the S-Curve could have lost and fallen from 5th to 8th on the S-Curve, however 8th on the S-Curve is still a 2 seed.