February 23rd Projections 

             (Updated from N/A)

Please Note:

There are projections of what I believe the selection committee would select as the field if the season ended today, NOT what I think the bracket should be. 

 - Dominic Lese, aka Bracket Dom

- Official Bracketologist

-Twitter Link:  Twitter.com/BracketDom

Teams in RED are projected Auto-Bids.

 

Teams in BLACK are projected At-Large Bids. (Teams currently in 1st place.)

Click HERE to see the S-Curve, with all 68 teams listed in seeding order.

Seed up from last update

Seed up from last update

Seed down from last update

Team is new to the bracket

Teams by conference
Changes from last Bracketometry
 
Rising:
Florida State: Up from 4 seed to 3 seed
-FSU took care of business on the road against Pittsburgh, and move up thanks to a loss by Virginia. 
Kansas: Up from 5 seed to 4 seed
-Kansas earned the season sweep of Texas Tech for their 5th win in a row, and with yet another quality win added to the resume, KU moves into top 4 seed territory. 
Creighton: Up from 5 seed to 4 seed
-Creighton didn't play since the last update, but move up thanks to a loss by Tennessee.  
Oklahoma State: Up from 8 seed to 7 seed
-Oklahoma State moves up after a thrilling come from behind victory over Texas Tech, their second win over the Red Raiders this season. 
BYU: Up from 9 seed to 8 seed
-BYU won at LMU in dominant fashion, and take Louisville's spot on the 8 line after their loss. 
Loyola Chicago: Up from 10 seed to 9 seed
-Loyola has not played since the last update, but move up because of a loss by VCU. 
North Carolina: Up from 11 seed to 10 seed
-UNC moves up after beating Louisville by a whopping 45 points! 
Boise State: Up from 11 seed to 10 seed
-Boise State completed the sweep of Utah State, knocking the Aggies further off the bubble and moving Boise further off of it. 
Saint Bonaventure: Up from 12 seed to 11 seed
-Saint Bonaventure beat Davidson and moved back into first place in the A-10.
Eastern Washington: Up from 16 seed to 15 seed
-EWU moves up after a sweep of Montana, and thanks to UTRGV taking over 1st place in the WAC.  
Falling:
Virginia: Down from 3 seed to 4 seed
-UVA drops a seed after falling to Duke on the road, keeping Duke in the at-large conversation. 
Tennessee: Down from 4 seed to 5 seed
-Tennessee drops another seed line after an embarrassing home blowout at the hands of Kentucky. 
Texas Tech: Down from 5 seed to 6 seed
-Texas Tech drops down to a 6 seed after back to back road losses to KU and Oklahoma State. While neither are bad losses, two losses in a row will usually affect a team's position. 
Rutgers: Down from 7 seed to 8 seed
-Rutgers fell at home to Maryland, and fall a seed line as a result. 
Louisville: Down from 8 seed to 9 seed
-Louisville lost at UNC, and while that's not a terrible loss on the surface, the fact that they lost by 45 makes it bad enough to drop down a seed. 
VCU: Down from 9 seed to 11 seed
-VCU ​had arguably the worst loss of the weekend for a bubble team, falling at home to George Mason. A loss that bad drops VCU two seed lines.   
Seton Hall: Down from 10 seed to 11 seed
-Seton Hall suffered a bad loss at Georgetown, dropping them a seed and back into the bubble picture.  
Indiana: Down from 10 seed to 11 seed
-Indiana lost at home to struggling Michigan State, most seasons that wouldn't be a loss that drops you a seed line, but with MSU's awful play this year the loss is equally awful for Indiana. 
Connecticut: Down from 11 seed to 12 seed
-UConn missed a chance for a a huge victory at Villanova, and while the loss itself is far from a bad loss, the bubble is so tight this season that nearly any loss will affect a teams seed. 
 
Entering and Leaving the Field:
Maryland: New at 12 seed
Minnesota: Out
-Maryland takes Minnesota's spot in the field as the 9th team from the Big Ten, following their road victory at Rutgers, and Minnesota's blowout home loss to Illinois. 
UTRGV: New at 16 seed
Grand Canyon: Out
-UTRGV takes GCU's spot in the field as they move into 1st place in the WAC. 
*Bracketometry Notes:
 
Other teams who won and lost since the last update but who's seed did not change did likely move up or down the S-Curve accordingly, however the     win/loss was not major enough (or other teams that were near them on the S-   Curve had equally impactful wins/losses as well) to actually change their seed.
 
Example: A projected 2 seed who was 5th on the S- Curve could have lost and fallen from 5th to 8th on the S-Curve, however 8th on the S-Curve is still a 2 seed.