Selection Sunday Projected Field
   Scroll down for analysis of why teams are trending up or down.

Please Note:

There are projections of what I believe the selection committee would select as the field if the season ended today, NOT what I think the bracket should be. 

*Next update coming Saturday morning!

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 - Dominic Lese, aka Bracket Dom

- Official Bracketologist

-Twitter Link:  Twitter.com/BracketDom

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- Teams in RED are projected Auto-Bids.

 

- Teams in BLACK are projected At-Large Bids. 

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Click HERE to see the Seed List, with all 68 teams listed in seeding order.

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Seed up from last update

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Seed up from last update

Seed down from last update

Team is new to the bracket

Teams by Conference
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Changes from the previous

Bracketometry


 

Rising:

Tennessee: Up from a 3 seed to a 2 seed

-The Vols jump to a 2 seed with their dismantling of Texas A&M in the SEC Championship, leaping Duke after their loss.


Iowa: Up from a 6 seed to a 5 seed

-The Hawkeyes leap to a 5 seed with their win in the Big 10 title game over Purdue.


Colorado State: Up from a 7 seed to a 6 seed

-The Rams move back up to the 6 line over Michigan State after the Spartans lost to Purdue in the Big 10 semifinals.


TCU: Up from a 9 seed to an 8 seed

-The Horned Frogs get back to an 8 seed thanks to Creighton's loss to Villanova in the Big East Championship, allowing them to take their spot on the 8 line.


Memphis: Up from a 10 seed to a 9 seed

-The Tigers rolled SMU in the AAC semis (a Q1 win) even with the loss to Houston the Tigers move up.


Virginia Tech: Up from a 12 seed to a 10 seed

-The Hokies jump 2 seed lines all the way up to a 10 after their dominant Q1A victory over Duke in the ACC Championship. 


Wyoming: Up from a 12 seed to an 11 seed

-Richmond stealing a bid elevated the second play-in game to an 11 seed, thus moving the Cowboys up.


Georgia State: Up from a 16 seed to a 15 seed

-The Panthers move up to a 15 seed thanks to LBSU losing in the Big West final, allowing them to take their spot on the 15 line.




Falling:

Duke: Down from a 2 seed to a 3 seed

-The Blue Devils fall to a 3 seed with their loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship.


Texas: Down from a 5 seed to a 6 seed

-The Longhorns fall back to a 6 seed after Iowa leaped them with a win in the Big 10 title game.

Michigan State: Down from a 6 seed to a 7 seed

-The Spartans fall back to a 7 seed after coming up short against Purdue in the Big 10 semifinals, a win that would have solidified them as a 6.


Creighton: Down from an 8 seed to a 9 seed

-The Bluejays drop to a 9 seed after a tough loss to Villanova in the Big East title game. Not a bad loss, but enough to cede their spot back to TCU who was right on their tail.


Iowa St: Up from a 10 seed to a 9 seed

-The Cyclones get dropped to a 10 seed after Memphis leaped them with their win over SMU.


Davidson: Down from a 10 seed to an 11 seed

-The Wildcats fall to an 11 seed after their loss to Richmond in the A-10 final.


Notre Dame: Down from an 11 seed to a 12 seed

-The Irish fall to a 12 seed after getting leaped by Virginia Tech, who clinched the ACC's auto-bid with their win over Duke.




Entering and Leaving the Field:

Richmond: New at a 12 seed
SMU: Out

-The Spiders enter the field as a true bid-thief, knocking SMU out of the field with their upset win over Davidson in the A-10 final.


Akron: New at a 13 seed
Kent State: Out

-The Zips took down a depleted Kent State squad in the MAC Championship to earn the league's auto-bid and take their spot in the field.


Yale: New at a 14 seed
Princeton: Out

-The Bulldogs knocked off Princeton in the Ivy League title game and take their spot in the field as a result.


Cal State Fullerton: New at a 16 seed
Long Beach State: Out

-The Titans beat LBSU to claim the Big West crown, and enter the field as a 16 seed in their place.


Texas Southern
: New at a 16 seed
Alcorn State: Out

-The Tigers routed Alcorn State in the SWAC title game and took their spot in the field as the SWAC champs.


Texas A&M CC: New at a 16 seed
SE Louisiana: Out

-The Islanders took down SELA in the Southland title game and enter the field in their place as Southland Champions.

 **Bracketometry Notes:  Other teams who won and lost since the last update who's seed didn't change did likely move up or down the S-Curve, but maybe went from .  Example: A projected 2 seed who was 5th on the S-Curve could have lost and fallen from 5th to 8th on the S-Curve, however 8th on the S-Curve is still a 2 seed.